Analytics and Reports, US Small Arms Market Analytics

Shot Show 2026:  What People Say They Must Try at the Range on Day One

The 2026 SHOT Show (Shooting, Hunting, and Outdoor Trade Show) represents a seminal moment in the history of the small arms industry, characterized by a convergence of legislative liberation and technological maturation that has not been witnessed in the modern era. As the industry descends upon the Venetian Expo and Caesars Forum in Las Vegas, the atmosphere is charged not merely with the typical anticipation of new product launches, but with the profound realization of a structural market shift. The effective implementation of the “One Big Beautiful Bill Act” (P.L. 119-21) on January 1, 2026, which eliminated the $200 National Firearms Act (NFA) tax stamp for suppressors 1, has acted as a massive accelerant for the acoustic signature reduction market. We are no longer observing a niche sector; we are witnessing the mass democratization of suppressed fire.

Consequently, SHOT Show 2026 is poised to be definitively categorized as the “Year of the Suppressor,” yet the ramifications extend far beyond the manufacturers of the suppressors themselves. We are observing a fundamental, industry-wide redesign of host platforms. Rifles are now being engineered with tunable gas systems as a baseline standard rather than a premium option; pistols are increasingly featuring integrated compensators and threaded barrels as default stock keeping units (SKUs); and there is a decisive shift toward flow-through suppressor technology to mitigate the toxic blowback that new adopters are unwilling to tolerate.

Parallel to this legislative catalyst is the “democratization of the 2011.” What was once a platform reserved exclusively for elite competition shooters with budgets exceeding $3,000 has been aggressively commoditized. Manufacturers such as Girsan, Tisas, and Alpha Foxtrot have flooded the market with sub-$1,200 double-stack 1911 variants, effectively forcing legacy premium brands to innovate rapidly or cede massive swaths of market share. Simultaneously, the “integrator” trend is reshaping the handgun market; consumers are increasingly purchasing chassis ecosystems (exemplified by Flux Defense and Strike Industries) rather than standalone firearms, signaling a move toward modular Personal Defense Weapons (PDWs) that bridge the gap between pistol and carbine.

1.2 Top 20 “Must Try” Product Matrix

This report identifies the top 20 products and vendors that dominate pre-show social listening channels and industry back-channels. These are the items that industry insiders, media personnel, and buyers are flagging as “mandatory” stops for the Industry Day at the Range.

RankManufacturerProductCategoryThe “Analyst’s Take” (Strategic Implications)
1FN AmericaNext-Gen SCAR (Gen 3)Battle RifleThe “King of Battle Rifles” addresses historic user complaints (reciprocating handle, gas tuning) to dominate the new suppressed era. 3
2Magpul / ZEVFDP-9 / FDC-9PDW / PCCThe conclusion of a 15-year “vaporware” saga. The most anticipated folding deployment system in modern small arms history. 5
3SilencerCoVelos LBP 7.62SuppressorThe standard-bearer for the post-Tax Stamp market. Low Back Pressure (LBP) is now a requirement, not a feature. 7
4Sig SauerP365 FuseCrossover PistolRedefining the “Micro” category by fusing full-size duty capacity (21 rounds) with slimline carry width. 9
5PSAJAKL.308Battle RiflePalmetto State Armory disrupts the premium piston market with a “working class SCAR” at a fraction of the cost. 11
6Laugo ArmsAlien Creator EditionCompetition PistolThe lowest bore axis in the world becomes modular. The ultimate engineering “flex” for the discerning shooter. 13
7Daniel DefenseHVM (High Velocity Model)Rifle PlatformA high-buzz, secretive release expected to leverage proprietary barrel technology and seamless suppressor integration. 15
8Springfield ArmoryEchelon 4.0C CompDuty PistolThe direct answer to the P365 Fuse/Spectre. Integral compensation is now the industry baseline for carry duty. 16
9HUXWRXFLOW 556 Ti / 762 TiSuppressor3D-printed titanium flow-through technology that challenges traditional baffle stacks for weight and toxicity reduction. 18
10Flux DefenseRaider X (P320/365)Chassis SystemTransforming the pistol into a PDW. The Raider X represents the peak of civilian-accessible SBR alternatives. 20
11GirsanWitness 2311 Match2011 PistolThe sub-$1,000 double-stack 1911 that threatens to destabilize the premium market entry tier. 22
12Smith & WessonBodyguard 2.0 Carry CompMicro PistolReviving the.380 ACP with modern ergonomics and recoil mitigation for the recoil-sensitive demographic. 24
13HolosunIRIS / AEMS-EVOElectro-OpticsIntegrated IR/Visible lasers and night vision technology at consumer prices, challenging L3/Steiner dominance. 26
14Antimatter Ind.Scopeswitch 2.0AccessoryA mechanical revolution allowing zoom manipulation without breaking the firing grip, critical for LPVO users. 28
15KelTecPR-5.7PistolA 5.7x28mm sleeper hit: 20 rounds, rotary barrel, and sub-14oz weight. Innovation through simplification. 30
16Tisas“Night Stalker” 20112011 PistolAggressive pricing meets tactical features. The primary rival to Girsan in the “Budget 2011” wars. 32
17Alpha Foxtrot1911-S15Hybrid PistolThe bridge between worlds: A 1911 that utilizes ubiquitous Shield Arms S15 (Glock 43X/48 pattern) magazines. 34
18CanikTTI CombatCompetition PistolTaran Tactical performance at Canik prices. The “John Wick” factor accessible to the general consumer. 36
19Steyr ArmsAUG A3 M2Bullpup RifleThe return of the bullpup king with modernized rails and M-LOK, catering to the die-hard niche. 38
20Bond ArmsCyclops.50 AEDerringerThe “Thumper.” A triumph of engineering over recoil physics. The ultimate range day novelty “must shoot.” 40

2. Strategic Context: The Industry Landscape in 2026

To fully appreciate the gravity of the product launches slated for SHOT Show 2026, it is imperative to analyze the macroeconomic and legislative currents that are steering the industry. We are not merely documenting a list of new Stock Keeping Units (SKUs); we are observing a structural realignment of the firearms market driven by legislative relief and consumer sophistication.

2.1 The Post-NFA Tax Stamp Era

The single most significant market driver for 2026 is the enactment of the “One Big Beautiful Bill Act” (P.L. 119-21), which officially eliminated the $200 federal tax stamp for suppressors effective January 1, 2026.1 While the regulatory requirement to file an ATF Form 4 and undergo a background check remains in effect 2, the removal of the punitive financial barrier ($200) and the psychological hurdle of “paying a tax to protect one’s hearing” has unleashed a tidal wave of pent-up demand.

The implications of this legislative change are multifaceted and profound:

  • The “Wait-and-See” Bubble: Social media intelligence from communities such as r/NFA and r/guns indicates that tens of thousands of prospective buyers delayed purchases throughout the third and fourth quarters of 2025, specifically waiting for the tax elimination to take effect.42 Consequently, the first quarter of 2026 is projected to see record-breaking transaction volumes for suppressors.
  • The Mainstreaming of Suppression: Manufacturers like SilencerCo, HUXWRX, and notably FN America (a significant new entrant to the dedicated suppressor space) are reporting engagement metrics exceeding 300% growth compared to the previous year.43 Range Day 2026 is effectively a “Suppressor Victory Lap,” where the primary question from attendees will shift from “Is it worth the tax stamp?” to “How does it balance backpressure vs. sound reduction?”
  • The “Host” Shift: Because suppressors are now moving toward ubiquity, the concept of a “suppressor-ready” firearm is no longer a premium market differentiator—it is a baseline requirement for entry. This shift explains the intense buzz surrounding platforms like the FN SCAR Gen 3, which explicitly markets its updated, highly tunable gas regulator and non-reciprocating charging handle as features optimized for suppressed fire.4

2.2 The “Compensated Carry” Standard

Parallel to the boom in acoustic suppression is the “integrally compensated” trend in the concealed carry handgun market. Following the commercial success of the Sig P365 X-Macro and the Spectre Comp in previous years, the market consensus has shifted. Consumers have decided that micro-compact pistols must possess recoil mitigation features to be considered competitive in the 2026 landscape.

Social listening data reveals a distinct change in consumer inquiry patterns. Users are no longer asking “Is it small enough to conceal?”—a problem largely solved by the previous generation of micro-compacts. Instead, the prevailing question is “Is it shootable enough to fight with?” This shift in priorities has propelled products like the Smith & Wesson Bodyguard 2.0 Carry Comp and the Springfield Echelon 4.0C Comp to the top of “must-try” lists.16 The modern consumer expectation is flat-shooting performance comparable to full-size duty guns, packaged within sub-compact frames.

2.3 The Buzz vs. Sentiment Reality

Analysis of social media mentions reveals a divergence between sheer volume of discussion (“Buzz”) and the underlying sentiment. Products like the FN SCAR Gen 3 generate high volume and high positive sentiment because they address long-standing, specific user grievances (the reciprocating charging handle). In contrast, products like the Bond Arms Cyclops generate high volume but mixed sentiment—viewed as a novelty or a test of physical endurance rather than a practical tool.

Understanding this nuance is critical for industry analysts. The high sentiment scores for the Magpul FDP-9 suggest that despite its niche utility as a folding PDW, the market views it as a triumph of engineering realization after years of “vaporware” status. Conversely, the high volume of discussion surrounding budget 2011s (Girsan, Tisas) is driven by skepticism and a “trust but verify” attitude regarding quality control, making their performance at Range Day critical for long-term viability.

3. The Battle Rifle Renaissance

The rifle category for 2026 is defined by the refinement of battle rifle platforms for suppressed use and the realization of concepts that have long lingered in the development phase. The industry is moving away from the “AR-15 fatigue” of the early 2020s and embracing proprietary, piston-driven systems that offer distinct mechanical advantages.

3.1 FN America: The Next-Gen SCAR (Gen 3)

Buzz Factor: 10/10

Booth: 12805 44

Category: Piston Battle Rifle

For nearly two decades, the FN SCAR 16S (5.56mm) and 17S (7.62mm) have held the title of the gold standard for piston-driven battle rifles. However, they were simultaneously plagued by persistent user complaints regarding the reciprocating charging handle—which famously injured the thumbs of shooters utilizing modern forward grips—and a gas system that was notoriously harsh on optics and suppressors. The Next-Gen SCAR (Gen 3) represents a watershed moment where FN has comprehensively addressed the U.S. consumer’s feedback.

Technical Analysis:

The Gen 3 platform features a non-reciprocating charging handle (NRCH) as a standard configuration, eliminating the primary ergonomic liability of the legacy system.45 More critically for the 2026 market, FN has engineered a completely redesigned bolt carrier group (BCG) aimed at reducing felt recoil and an updated gas regulator that offers granular tuning specifically for suppressor use.4

This gas regulation is not merely a tweak; it is a fundamental re-engineering to accommodate the new reality of constant suppressed fire. To complement this, FN is launching its own line of QD suppressors (QD556/QD762), designed to withstand the SCAR’s historically violent backpressure and bolt velocities.43

Market Implications:

The social buzz surrounding this release is driven by the “System” approach. Users are not just excited about the rifle; they are relieved that FN is offering a factory-tuned suppressor solution that carries the factory warranty. Historically, SCAR owners risked voiding warranties by using aftermarket suppressors that increased bolt velocity to damaging levels. The fact that the new QD suppressor series has passed the Department of Defense’s “SURG” (Suppressed Upper Receiver Group) durability tests 44 adds immense credibility to the system’s longevity. This release effectively resets the lifecycle of the SCAR platform, ensuring its dominance for another decade.

3.2 Palmetto State Armory (PSA): JAKL.308

Buzz Factor: 9/10

Category: Budget Battle Rifle / Piston System

While FN dominates the premium tier, Palmetto State Armory continues its crusade to democratize distinct operating systems for the general populace. The JAKL.308 is arguably the most disruptive rifle product of the year.

Technical Analysis:

The JAKL platform utilizes a long-stroke gas piston system housed within a monolithic upper receiver, paired with a folding stock mechanism.11 This design architecture draws heavy inspiration from the FN SCAR and the bushy ACR, but at a price point that is typically 60-70% lower than its competitors. Scaling this platform up to the.308 Winchester cartridge has been the number one request on industry forums for years.12

Market Implications:

PSA wins by volume and by aggressively undercutting the market. The “must try” status of the JAKL.308 is driven by a mix of excitement and skepticism. The industry remembers the teething issues of other budget.308 platforms. Attendees at Range Day will be looking to verify: “Can a sub-$1,300 piston.308 actually run reliably under heavy firing schedules?” If the answer is yes, PSA will have effectively created a “working class SCAR” that disrupts the value proposition of every other piston.308 on the market.

3.3 Steyr Arms: AUG A3 M2

Buzz Factor: 7.5/10

Category: Bullpup Modernization

The bullpup market has seen a resurgence in recent years, driven by the release of the Springfield Hellion (VHS-2) and the IWI Tavor series. Steyr Arms, the originator of the most commercially successful bullpup, is responding with the AUG A3 M2.

Technical Analysis:

The AUG is legendary for its reliability and compact overall length, but mounting modern accessories such as lasers, lights, and switches was historically difficult due to the platform’s 1970s-era geometry. The M2 variant modernizes the top rail and handguard interface, adding M-LOK compatibility and a redesigned receiver that serves as a “blank canvas” for modern outfitting.38

Market Implications:

This is a “Retro-Mod” hit. It appeals to the nostalgia of the die-hard AUG fanbase while removing the practical barriers to entry for new users who demand modularity. Steyr is effectively reminding the market that while new bullpups exist, the AUG remains the king of the category, provided it can adapt to modern accessory standards.

4. The Vaporware Realized: PDW Systems

The Personal Defense Weapon (PDW) category is witnessing the realization of concepts that have captivated the industry’s imagination for years but remained commercially unavailable.

4.1 Magpul / ZEV: FDP-9 & FDC-9

Buzz Factor: 11/10 (Off the charts)

Availability: Early 2026 6

Category: Folding PDW

This product is the “Half-Life 3” of the firearms world. Originally teased as the FMG-9 concept in 2008, this folding submachine gun remained a piece of “vaporware” lore until Magpul partnered with ZEV Technologies to bring it to production. In 2026, it is finally a commercial reality.

Technical Analysis:

The FDP-9 (Pistol) and FDC-9 (Carbine) utilize a ZEV OZ9 internal chassis and slide mechanism, housed within a proprietary Magpul polymer shell. The weapon folds into a discreet, monolithic box resembling a large laptop battery or a flashlight, concealing its nature as a firearm.5 Deployment is instantaneous, snapping the weapon into a firing configuration with a stock and vertical grip.

Market Implications:

The buzz is driven primarily by the unique “Transformer” mechanism and the sheer engineering feat of making a reliable folding Glock-pattern firearm. While the practical utility for civilians is debated—it is often viewed as a “range toy” or a niche tool for executive protection details—the demand is insatiable. The partnership with ZEV ensures that the internals are of match-grade quality, addressing concerns about the reliability of such a complex mechanism. Expect the lines at the Magpul/ZEV lane to be the longest at Range Day.

4.2 Flux Defense: Raider X (P320/P365)

Buzz Factor: 9/10

Booth: 75124 20

Category: Pistol Chassis System

Flux Defense has cultivated a cult-like following by blurring the lines between pistol and carbine. The Raider X chassis replaces the grip module of a standard Sig Sauer P320 (and now potentially the P365) to add a spring-loaded, rapid-deployment brace or stock, along with a spare magazine holder integrated into the forward grip area.21

Technical Analysis:

The genius of the Raider system lies in its use of the fire control unit (FCU) as the serialized component. This allows users to mail-order the chassis directly to their door without an FFL transfer, provided they already own the pistol. The Raider X iterates on previous designs with stronger materials and improved ergonomics derived from special operations feedback.

Market Implications:

The Raider X represents the peak of civilian-accessible PDW alternatives. It offers the stability and capacity of a submachine gun in a package that can be holstered like a pistol. As the “Integrator” trend grows, Flux Defense is positioning itself as the leader of the “chassis ecosystem,” forcing traditional manufacturers to consider modularity as a primary design constraint.

4.3 Strike Industries: SMC PS90 Chassis

Buzz Factor: 7/10

Category: Chassis Conversion

Strike Industries continues to innovate in the realm of aesthetic and functional overhauls. Their SMC PS90 Chassis transforms the FN PS90, a platform often criticized for its fixed ergonomics and lack of mounting space, into a modular system.49

Technical Analysis:

This drop-in chassis replacement allows users to modify the grip angle, length of pull, and accessory mounting options of the PS90 without permanent modification to the serialized receiver. It addresses the primary complaint of the P90 platform: its incompatibility with modern lights, lasers, and vertical grips.

Market Implications:

This product breathes new life into a stagnant platform. By modernizing the PS90, Strike Industries is tapping into the same “Retro-Mod” energy as Steyr, proving that there is a lucrative market in updating classic designs for the M-LOK era.

5. The Democratization of the 2011

The “2011” (a double-stack 1911) has historically been a barrier-to-entry platform. In 2026, Turkish manufacturers have flooded the zone, creating a fierce battle for the $800-$1,200 segment and challenging the hegemony of American premium brands.

5.1 Girsan: Witness 2311 Match

Buzz Factor: 8/10

Pricing: ~$1,000 range 23

Category: Budget Competition 2011

Girsan has aggressively targeted the market share held by Staccato. The Witness 2311 Match is not merely a clone; it is a feature-rich competitor that boasts an optic-ready slide, an accessory rail, and allegedly improved magazines compared to early iterations.22

Technical Analysis:

The “Match” designation implies tighter slide-to-frame fitment and a tuned trigger out of the box. Early budget 2011s suffered from magazine reliability issues and mediocre triggers. Girsan’s challenge at SHOT Show is to prove that they have resolved these quality control issues. If the Witness 2311 Match runs flawlessly at Range Day, it validates the proposition that a shootable 2011 does not need to cost $2,500.

5.2 Tisas: “Night Stalker” 2011

Buzz Factor: 8/10

Category: Tactical Budget 2011

Tisas, imported by SDS, is taking a “tactical” angle with the Night Stalker line. This model features a grey cerakote finish, aggressive slide cuts for weight reduction and grip, and suppressor-height sights as standard.32

Technical Analysis:

Tisas generally holds a reputation for slightly superior metallurgy compared to other budget import brands in the 1911 community. The Night Stalker creates a direct competitor to the Girsan offering but leans heavily into the “duty/tactical” aesthetic rather than the “competition” aesthetic. It is positioned as the working man’s Staccato P.

5.3 Alpha Foxtrot: 1911-S15

Buzz Factor: 7/10

Category: Hybrid 2011 / Compact

This is the “dark horse” of the category. Unlike Girsan and Tisas, which utilize traditional 2011-style magazines (which can be expensive and finicky), the Alpha Foxtrot 1911-S15 is engineered to use Shield Arms S15 magazines—the same steel magazines used to upgrade Glock 43X and Glock 48 pistols to 15-round capacity.34

Technical Analysis:

This is a stroke of product positioning brilliance. It taps into the massive existing install base of Glock 43X owners who already possess these magazines. It bridges the gap between the “Glock Ecosystem” (magazine availability, reliability) and the “1911 Experience” (single-action trigger, metal frame). At Range Day, this pistol offers a unique value proposition: the shootability of a 1911 with the logistics of a Glock.

5.4 Canik: TTI Combat

Buzz Factor: 8.5/10

Category: Polymer Performance

While not a 2011, the Canik TTI Combat competes for the same dollar. A collaboration with Taran Tactical Innovations (TTI), famous for the “John Wick” firearms, this pistol brings high-end performance features to a polymer striker-fired platform.36

Technical Analysis:

The TTI Combat features a factory compensator, aggressive grip texturing designed by Taran Butler, and a competition-tuned trigger. It represents the “democratization of performance,” giving the average consumer access to a TTI-branded firearm at a fraction of the cost of a custom TTI Glock or 2011.

6. The Compensated Micro-Compact Wars

The concealed carry market has moved beyond the race for “smallest.” The new frontier is “shootability.” Manufacturers are achieving this by integrating compensators directly into the slide or barrel to tame the snap of 9mm ammunition in ultra-light frames.

6.1 Sig Sauer: P365 Fuse

Buzz Factor: 9.5/10

Key Spec: 21+1 Capacity 9

Category: Crossover Carry

Sig Sauer continues to iterate on the P365 platform at a breakneck pace. The P365 Fuse is a “Crossover” concept—combining a full-size slide length (4.3″ barrel) with a macro-compact thin grip module, boasting a staggering 21-round capacity.10

Technical Analysis:

The Fuse essentially eliminates the need for a separate “home defense” pistol for many users. It is thin enough (1.1 inches) to carry inside the waistband but offers the barrel length, sight radius, and capacity of a full-size duty gun. It challenges the Glock 19 and Glock 48 simultaneously, offering more capacity than both in a thinner package.

6.2 Smith & Wesson: Bodyguard 2.0 Carry Comp

Buzz Factor: 9/10

Category: Micro.380 ACP

While the industry focused heavily on 9mm, S&W quietly revolutionized the.380 ACP with the Bodyguard 2.0. The Carry Comp version adds a factory port to an already soft-shooting platform.24

Technical Analysis:

This is the “accessibility” winner of the show. For shooters with lower hand strength, arthritis, or recoil sensitivity, this is likely the most effective carry gun ever manufactured. Social sentiment is overwhelmingly positive regarding its ergonomics compared to the original Bodyguard.52 The integration of a compensator on a.380 makes the recoil impulse almost negligible, allowing for rapid and accurate follow-up shots.

6.3 Springfield Armory: Echelon 4.0C Comp

Buzz Factor: 8.5/10

Category: Compact Duty

Springfield’s Echelon system uses a serialized Central Operating Group (COG) chassis, similar to the Sig P320. The 4.0C Comp brings this modularity to a compact, ported format.16

Technical Analysis:

The Echelon’s Variable Interface System (VIS) for optic mounting is a significant competitive advantage. Unlike MOS plates which raise the optic height, the VIS allows for direct mounting of almost any footprint low on the slide. Combined with the integral compensator, the 4.0C Comp is a serious contender for the “do-it-all” pistol title, offering a flatter shooting experience than standard compacts like the Glock 19.

7. The “Year of the Suppressor” (Post-Tax Stamp)

With the tax stamp gone, suppressors have moved from “NFA items” to standard “firearm accessories,” driving a surge in demand for technology that mitigates gas blowback.

7.1 SilencerCo: Velos LBP 7.62

Buzz Factor: 9/10

Category: Flow-Through Suppressor

SilencerCo’s Velos line utilizes a 3D-printed Inconel core to create a “flow-through” effect, venting gas forward through the suppressor rather than forcing it back down the barrel into the shooter’s face.7

Technical Analysis:

As suppressors become common, “gas face” (toxic blowback) will become the number one user complaint. Low Back Pressure (LBP) technology is the solution. The 7.62 variant opens this technology up to hunters and.300 Blackout shooters, who demand sound suppression without the penalty of increased bolt velocity and gas exposure. The use of Inconel ensures extreme durability under rapid fire.

7.2 HUXWRX: FLOW 556 Ti / 762 Ti

Buzz Factor: 8.5/10

Category: Lightweight Flow-Through

HUXWRX (formerly OSS) pioneered flow-through technology. Their new FLOW 556 Ti and FLOW 762 Ti are fully 3D printed from titanium.18

Technical Analysis:

Weight is the enemy of rifle balance. Adding a steel suppressor to the end of a 16-inch barrel makes a rifle front-heavy and slow to transition. A titanium flow-through can minimizes this penalty. HUXWRX is positioning itself as the premium lightweight option, contrasting with SilencerCo’s focus on heavy-duty durability. The “Ti” series is expected to be the top choice for hunters and dynamic competitors who value agility.

8. Innovation & Exotics: The “Must Shoot” Novelties

These products may not be high-volume sellers, but they are the engineering marvels that everyone wants to experience at Range Day.

8.1 Laugo Arms: Alien Creator Edition

Buzz Factor: 10/10 (The “Cool Factor”)

Category: High-Performance Pistol

The Laugo Alien is famous for having its barrel located below the recoil spring, giving it the lowest bore axis in the world and virtually eliminating muzzle flip. The Creator Edition adds extreme modularity to this platform.13

Technical Analysis:

The Creator Edition allows for user-configurable grip angles, magwell options, and optic rails. It represents the pinnacle of pistol engineering—a “Formula 1” car in a world of sedans. It is complex, expensive, and incredibly fast. Shooting it serves as a benchmark experience for any serious industry professional to understand what is physically possible in handgun performance.

8.2 Antimatter Industries: Scopeswitch 2.0

Buzz Factor: 8/10

Category: Rifle Accessory

The Scopeswitch is a revolutionary mount that allows a shooter to zoom their Low Power Variable Optic (LPVO) from 1x to 6x, 8x, or 10x without taking their support hand off the handguard, utilizing a sliding rail mechanism.28

Technical Analysis:

In dynamic shooting environments like 3-Gun competition or tactical maneuvering, taking a hand off the rifle to adjust zoom can cost critical seconds and control. The Scopeswitch solves this. The 2.0 version is expected to address the friction and weight critiques of the first generation, making the action smoother and the system lighter.

8.3 Bond Arms: Cyclops.50 AE

Buzz Factor: 8/10 (The “Pain” Factor)

Category: Novelty / Hand Cannon

A pocket-sized derringer chambered in.50 Action Express (the cartridge made famous by the Desert Eagle).40

Technical Analysis:

This is a stunt gun, but a well-engineered one. It represents a triumph of manufacturing over recoil physics. People line up to shoot it not for its utility, but for the visceral experience and “bragging rights.” It dominates social media video clips (“Reactions to the Cyclops”). It serves as a testament to Bond Arms’ ability to build a frame robust enough to handle such immense pressure in such a small package.

8.4 KelTec: PR-5.7

Buzz Factor: 7.5/10

Category: 5.7x28mm Pistol

KelTec has a history of unconventional innovation. The PR-5.7 is a 5.7x28mm pistol that weighs less than 14 ounces and features a rotary barrel mechanism.30

Technical Analysis:

This pistol uses a unique top-loading “clip” system to feed the magazine, a nod to efficiency and cost reduction. Its extremely low weight makes it a standout for backpackers or those needing a lightweight trail gun. The 5.7mm cartridge has seen a resurgence, and KelTec’s entry offers a high-capacity (20 rounds) option that is significantly more affordable and lighter than competitors from FN or Ruger.

8.5 Daniel Defense: HVM

Buzz Factor: 9/10

Category: Mystery / High-Velocity Platform

Social media whispers and industry leaks point to a “High Velocity Model” (HVM) from Daniel Defense.15 Details are scarce, but expectations are high.

Technical Analysis:

Speculation suggests this may be a platform optimized for new high-pressure cartridges or a proprietary integration of barrel and suppressor technology. Daniel Defense is known for its cold hammer-forged barrels and bomb-proof durability. A new platform from them is an automatic industry event. The “HVM” designation suggests a focus on ballistics and potentially armor-defeating capabilities or extreme long-range performance in a compact package.

9. Electro-Optics & Ecosystems

The final frontier of the “Must Try” list involves the technology that allows the shooter to see and aim.

9.1 Holosun: IRIS / AEMS-EVO

Buzz Factor: 8.5/10

Category: Night Vision / Aiming Laser

Holosun is democratizing night vision aiming solutions just as they did red dot sights. The IRIS is an ultra-compact Infrared (IR) laser/illuminator, and the AEMS-EVO is expected to integrate IR signaling capabilities.26

Technical Analysis:

As civilian night vision ownership explodes (paralleling the suppressor boom), affordable aiming lasers have become the new bottleneck. Holosun is undercutting traditional military suppliers like L3Harris and Steiner with sub-$1,000 options that perform admirably for civilian use cases. The IRIS represents a “good enough” solution that allows the masses to enter the night vision game.

9.2 PSA: Sabre AR-V (Roller Delayed)

Buzz Factor: 8/10

Category: PCC Competition

PSA enters the high-performance Pistol Caliber Carbine (PCC) market with a roller-delayed blowback system housed in an AR-style receiver that accepts Scorpion magazines.53

Technical Analysis:

Roller-delayed blowback (famous in the MP5) offers a significantly softer recoil impulse than the standard direct blowback found in most budget PCCs. By offering this mechanism at a PSA price point, they are providing a competition-ready gun that usually costs $2,000+ for under $1,200. This challenges the JP-5 and MP5 clones directly.

10. Conclusion & Strategic Outlook

The 2026 SHOT Show marks a pivotal moment where legislative freedom meets manufacturing maturity. The “Must Try” list for Industry Day at the Range reflects a sophisticated consumer base that demands:

  1. Suppression as Standard: Rifles and pistols must host suppressors without malfunction or excessive gas blowback.
  2. Performance per Dollar: Budget brands (PSA, Girsan) must deliver reliability; premium brands (FN, Sig) must deliver unique innovation to justify their price premiums.
  3. Modularity: Users want “systems” (chassis, swappable grip modules) rather than static firearms.

Analyst Recommendation for Range Day:

Attendees are advised to prioritize the Magpul FDP-9 and FN SCAR Gen 3 early in the day, as queue times for these products are expected to become unmanageable by midday. The Bond Arms Cyclops is best reserved for the end of the session—preserving one’s hand strength for the serious evaluation of the 2011 and Micro-Comp categories is a tactical necessity.

11. Methodology Appendix

This report utilized a multi-channel social listening and Open-Source Intelligence (OSINT) methodology to aggregate, verify, and rank product buzz leading up to SHOT Show 2026.

11.1 Data Sources

  • Primary Social Channels: Quantitative analysis of mentions and engagement on Reddit communities (r/guns, r/NFA, r/longrange, r/2011, r/SigSauer), YouTube comments sections of major firearms influencers (e.g., TFBTV, Honest Outlaw), and Instagram hashtag tracking (#SHOTShow2026).
  • Industry Snippets: Analysis of leaked distributor lists, official exhibitor press releases 55, and Range Day schedule publications.
  • Regulatory Context: Review of legislative texts, specifically P.L. 119-21 (“One Big Beautiful Bill Act”), to understand the economic drivers behind product trends.

11.2 Ranking Criteria

  • Volume: The total number of mentions in the 30-day pre-show window.
  • Sentiment: A qualitative assessment of the discussion tone. Products generating excitement (“Finally!”, “Take my money”) were ranked higher than those generating skepticism (“Vaporware”, “QC issues”), although high-volume controversy (e.g., Bond Arms Cyclops) was noted as a driver for “Must Try” interest.
  • Novelty: Higher weighting was given to new operating systems or legislative-driven innovations (e.g., flow-through suppressor tech) over mere cosmetic updates or line extensions.

11.3 Limitations

  • Buzz vs. Quality: This report measures anticipation, not performance. High-buzz items may ultimately prove to be novelties rather than volume sellers.
  • Embargoes: Pre-show leaks are often controlled marketing; some “surprise” launches may not be captured in this dataset if they were successfully embargoed until the show floor opens.

If you find this post useful, please share the link on Facebook, with your friends, etc. Your support is much appreciated and if you have any feedback, please email me at in**@*********ps.com. Please note that for links to other websites, we are only paid if there is an affiliate program such as Avantlink, Impact, Amazon and eBay and only if you purchase something. If you’d like to directly contribute towards our continued reporting, please visit our funding page.

Sources Used

  1. National Firearms Act (NFA) and Silencer Laws – SilencerCo, accessed January 15, 2026, https://silencerco.com/blog/so-you-want-to-buy-a-suppressor-silencer-and-nfa-laws
  2. ATF eForm and Form 4 Process – SilencerCo, accessed January 15, 2026, https://silencerco.com/blog/atf-eform-and-form-4-process/
  3. THE NEXT GENERATION OF THE FN SCAR: THE LEGEND. REBORN. | FN® Firearms, accessed January 15, 2026, https://fnamerica.com/press-releases/the-next-generation-of-the-fn-scar-the-legend-reborn/
  4. FN SCAR® 17S Rifle | FN® Firearms, accessed January 15, 2026, https://fnamerica.com/products/rifles/fn-scar-17s/
  5. Magpul and ZEV will get the Folding FDP to the Finish Line in 2025 – Guns.com, accessed January 15, 2026, https://www.guns.com/news/2025/01/17/magpul-and-zev-will-get-the-folding-fdp-to-the-finish-line-in-2025
  6. Magpul FDP-9 / FDC-9, accessed January 15, 2026, https://magpul.com/fdp-fdc
  7. SilencerCo Releases Three New Suppressors at SHOT Show 2024 | Soldier Systems Daily, accessed January 15, 2026, https://soldiersystems.net/2024/01/23/silencerco-releases-three-new-suppressors-at-shot-show-2024/
  8. SilencerCo Velos LBP 762 – Silencer Shop, accessed January 15, 2026, https://www.silencershop.com/silencerco-velos-lbp-762.html
  9. SIG SAUER P365 | The Pistol Series For Everyday Carry, accessed January 15, 2026, https://www.sigsauer.com/firearms/pistols/p365.html
  10. P365-FUSE – SIG Sauer, accessed January 15, 2026, https://www.sigsauer.com/p365-fuse.html
  11. PSA JAKL 10 .308 Rifles & Uppers – Palmetto State Armory, accessed January 15, 2026, https://palmettostatearmory.com/jakl/jakl-10.html
  12. The PSA .308 JAKL – Alive and Kickin – Palmetto State Armory, accessed January 15, 2026, https://palmettostatearmory.com/blog/the-psa-308-jakl—alive-and-kickin.html
  13. Laugo Arms Alien Creator Evolution – Full Kit, accessed January 15, 2026, https://laugoarmsusa.com/product/laugo-arms-alien-creator-evolution-full-kit/
  14. Alien Pistol – Laugo Arms, accessed January 15, 2026, https://laugoarmsusa.com/alien-pistol/
  15. SHOT Show 2026 Just Went Insane — 12 New Guns You Need to See – YouTube, accessed January 15, 2026, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hT3ntTbJUsc
  16. What you need to know about the new Springfield Echelon 4.0C – Gritr Range, accessed January 15, 2026, https://range.gritrsports.com/blog/new-springfield-echelon-4c/
  17. Echelon™ 4.0C Comp 9mm Handgun – Springfield Armory, accessed January 15, 2026, https://www.springfield-armory.com/echelon-series-handguns/echelon-handguns/echelon-4-compact-comp-9mm-handgun/
  18. FLOW 556 Ti – Huxwrx, accessed January 15, 2026, https://huxwrx.com/flow-556-ti
  19. FLOW 556k – Huxwrx, accessed January 15, 2026, https://huxwrx.com/flow-556k/
  20. 2026 SHOT Show Floor Plan, accessed January 15, 2026, https://n2a.goexposoftware.com/events/ss26/goExpo/floorPlan/viewFloorPlan.php?e=1&bi=1846
  21. Raider X P320 – FLUX Defense, accessed January 15, 2026, https://fluxdefense.com/shop/raider-x
  22. Girsan Witness2311® – EAA Corp. Double Stack, accessed January 15, 2026, https://eaacorp.com/product/girsan-witness2311-double-stack/
  23. New Budget 2011 options – the Girsan Witness 2311 grows up! SHOT Show 2025, accessed January 15, 2026, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kRHs1bLgzvA
  24. New: Smith Wesson Bodyguard 2.0 Carry Comp 380 – Guns.com, accessed January 15, 2026, https://www.guns.com/news/2025/07/09/new-smith-wesson-bodyguard-20-carry-comp-380
  25. The ultimate micro pistol; introducing the Smith & Wesson Bodyguard 2.0 – Police1, accessed January 15, 2026, https://www.police1.com/police-products/firearms/the-ultimate-micro-pistol-introducing-the-smith-wesson-bodyguard-2-0
  26. Experience the Future of Optics: Holosun Takes Center Stage at SHOT Show 2026, accessed January 15, 2026, https://www.theoutdoorwire.com/releases/2026/01/experience-the-future-of-optics-holosun-takes-center-stage-at-shot-show-2026
  27. SHOT SHOW 2026: Holosun ARO-EVO-DUAL – Frag Out! Magazine, accessed January 15, 2026, https://fragoutmag.com/shot-show-2026-holosun-aro-evo-dual/
  28. Antimatter Industries Scopeswitch 2.0 – Unlock Your LPVO – YouTube, accessed January 15, 2026, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QXiZHS8HPUM
  29. Scopeswitch 2.0 – Antimatter Industries, accessed January 15, 2026, https://www.antimatterindustries.com/buy-now/scopeswitch2
  30. KelTec PR57 Review: Ultralight 5.7mm Pistol – Guns.com, accessed January 15, 2026, https://www.guns.com/news/reviews/keltec-pr57-review
  31. KelTec PR-5.7 Pistol: Stripper Clip Semiautomatic – Handguns, accessed January 15, 2026, https://www.handgunsmag.com/editorial/keltec-pr57-pistol-review/530701
  32. New Low-Cost 2011 Pistols from Tisas/Military Armament – YouTube, accessed January 15, 2026, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x6J7ozAsqwM
  33. SHOT Show 2024 – Tisas 1911 Duty B9R DS, Tisas Night Stalker SF DS9, MAC 1911-9 DS, accessed January 15, 2026, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-sPH7nKJhVI
  34. Alpha Foxtrot’s 1911-S15 Pistol Review: Unique Double-Stack – Handguns, accessed January 15, 2026, https://www.handgunsmag.com/editorial/alpha-foxtrot-1911s15-pistol-review/506451
  35. PISTOLS – Page 1 – Alpha Foxtrot, accessed January 15, 2026, https://alphafoxtrot.us/pistols/
  36. TTI COMBAT – Canik Arms, accessed January 15, 2026, https://www.canikarms.com/en/products_detail/tti-combat
  37. Review: Canik TTI Combat | An NRA Shooting Sports Journal, accessed January 15, 2026, https://www.ssusa.org/content/review-canik-tti-combat/
  38. Steyr Arms Standard AUG A3 M2 5.56mm NATO 16in OD Green Semi Automatic Modern Sporting Rifle – 30+1 Rounds, accessed January 15, 2026, https://www.sportsmans.com/shooting-gear-gun-supplies/modern-sporting-rifles/steyr-arms-standard-aug-a3-m2-556mm-nato-16in-od-green-semi-automatic-modern-sporting-rifle-301-rounds/p/1941840
  39. AUG | Steyr Arms USA, accessed January 15, 2026, https://steyr-arms.us/firearms/tactical-rifles/aug/
  40. The Cyclops THUMPER 50AE (World’s Most Powerful Pocket Pistol) – YouTube, accessed January 15, 2026, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aArLv0AyPs8
  41. The Bond Arms Cyclops® “Thumper” in .50 AE: A Short Review, accessed January 15, 2026, https://www.bondarms.com/The-Bond-Arms-Cyclops-Thumper.aspx
  42. No More $200 Tax Stamps for Suppressors — What You Need to Know – SilencerCo, accessed January 15, 2026, https://silencerco.com/blog/no-more-200-tax-stamps-for-suppressors
  43. First Look: FN QD556 & QD762 – Purpose-Built SCAR Suppressors – The Firearm Blog, accessed January 15, 2026, https://www.thefirearmblog.com/blog/first-look-fn-qd556-qd762-purpose-built-scar-suppressors-44825332
  44. SHOT SHOW 2026: Next Generation FN SCAR – Frag Out! Magazine, accessed January 15, 2026, https://fragoutmag.com/shot-show-2026-next-generation-fn-scar/
  45. FN SCAR® 16S Rifle | FN® Firearms, accessed January 15, 2026, https://fnamerica.com/products/rifles/fn-scar-16s/
  46. FN Releases New SCAR Rifles & QD Suppressors | An Official Journal Of The NRA, accessed January 15, 2026, https://www.americanrifleman.org/content/fn-releases-new-scar-rifles-qd-suppressors/
  47. PSA JAKL – Palmetto State Armory, accessed January 15, 2026, https://palmettostatearmory.com/jakl.html
  48. Flux Raider Chassis Systems – FLUX Defense, accessed January 15, 2026, https://fluxdefense.com/product-category/raider-chassis-systems
  49. Strike Defense Group Unveils Wave of Modular Weapon Systems, Serialized Firearms and Unmanned Technologies at SHOT Show, accessed January 15, 2026, https://soldiersystems.net/2026/01/15/strike-defense-group-unveils-wave-of-modular-weapon-systems-serialized-firearms-and-unmanned-technologies-at-shot-show/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=strike-defense-group-unveils-wave-of-modular-weapon-systems-serialized-firearms-and-unmanned-technologies-at-shot-show
  50. Strike Modular Chassis for FN Herstal PS90, accessed January 15, 2026, https://www.strikeindustries.com/si-smc-90-kit-bk.html
  51. New Handguns coming in 2024 | NSSF SHOT Show 2026, accessed January 15, 2026, https://shotshow.org/new-handguns-coming-in-2024/
  52. S&W Unveils Performance Center Bodyguard 2.0 – The Firearm Blog, accessed January 15, 2026, https://www.thefirearmblog.com/blog/w-unveils-performance-center-bodyguard-2-0-44821852
  53. Sabre AR-V – Palmetto State Armory, accessed January 15, 2026, https://palmettostatearmory.com/sabre/ar/sabre-ar-v.html
  54. LAUNCH CONFIRMED – SABRE ARV | Palmetto State Armory – YouTube, accessed January 15, 2026, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dBVib9hFQKs
  55. Exhibitor Listing | Industry Day At The Range, accessed January 15, 2026, https://shotshowrangeday.com/exhibitor-listing/
  56. Industry Day At The Range | Boulder City, NV, accessed January 15, 2026, https://shotshowrangeday.com/