The 2026 Shooting, Hunting, and Outdoor Trade (SHOT) Show arrives at a moment of unprecedented transformation for the global small arms industry. While the annual exhibition in Las Vegas typically serves as a showcase for iterative product updates and cosmetic refreshes, the 2026 iteration is unfolding against a backdrop of seismic legislative and consumer behavioral shifts. The primary catalyst for this disruption is the recent passage of the legislative package colloquially known as the “One Big Beautiful Bill,” signed in mid-2025, which mandated the elimination of the $200 National Firearms Act (NFA) tax stamp for suppressors and short-barreled firearms effective January 1, 2026.¹ This regulatory change has instantaneously dismantled nearly a century of financial friction, unleashing pent-up demand and forcing manufacturers to radically accelerate product roadmaps centered on modularity, suppression capability, and tactical adaptability.

This year’s slate of “must-see” shotguns is not merely a collection of new stock finishes or minor ergonomic tweaks; it represents a fundamental re-engineering of the platform to meet the demands of a newly liberated consumer base. Our analysis identifies three distinct strategic pillars defining the 2026 market. First is the Democratization of Modularity, best exemplified by Palmetto State Armory’s (PSA) 570, which seeks to disrupt the pump-action segment by applying the “user-configurable” philosophy of the AR-15 to the shotgun receiver.³ Second is Ballistic Innovation, led by Benelli’s aggressive expansion of the “Advanced Impact” (A.I.) barrel system into sub-gauge platforms (20 and 28-gauge), prioritizing internal terminal performance over external aesthetics.⁵ Third is Legacy Refinement, characterized by Browning’s debut of the Citori 825—the first major chassis update to the venerable Citori line in over a decade—signaling a decisive move toward mechanical triggers and modernized ergonomics in the premium sector.⁷

Furthermore, the tactical shotgun market is experiencing a renaissance we term the “Year of the Suppressor.” Manufacturers such as Mossberg, Beretta, and Yankee Hill Machine are aggressively pushing suppressor-ready models with threaded barrels, integrated mounting systems, and short-barreled configurations (SBS) that were previously niche items.⁹ Simultaneously, the budget sector is witnessing intense competition from Turkish imports, specifically the Spandau Arms S2, which leverages expired patents to challenge established inertia-driven platforms with high-performance clones at aggressive price points.¹²

This report provides an exhaustive, expert-level analysis of these key platforms, dissecting the engineering choices, consumer sentiment (“buzz”), and broader strategic implications of each release.

Summary of Expected Major Announcements

Manufacturer	Model / Platform	Key Differentiator	Market Segment	Buzz Level
Palmetto State Armory	PSA 570	“Build-Your-Own” modular receiver; 870 furniture compatibility; screw-in mag tube	Tactical / DIY	Critical
Benelli	SBE 3 Advanced Impact	New bore geometry for higher velocity; 20ga & 28ga expansion	Premium Waterfowl	High
Browning	Citori 825	Fire Lite 2 mechanical trigger; lower profile receiver; sleeker ergonomics	Competition / Upland	High
Mossberg	590R / 590RM Chisel	Integrated Chisel Machining folding stock mount; optic-optimized rail	Tactical / LE	Med-High
Beretta	A300 Ultima Patrol	New tactical colors (Grey, Tiger Stripe); Raider Edition; M-LOK integration	Tactical / Home Defense	High
Winchester	SX4 Hybrid Hunter	Carbon fiber finishes; Cerakote protection; expanded 20ga options	Mid-Tier Waterfowl	Medium
Spandau Arms	S2	Benelli M2 clone inertia system; enhanced lifter; budget price point	Entry-Level Field	Med-High
Taurus	Judge Home Defender	13-inch barrel; forward rail; non-NFA “firearm” classification	Home Defense / Niche	Medium
JK Armament	SGX Suppressors	Modular baffle design; choke-replacement mounting system	NFA / Accessories	Critical
Yankee Hill Machine	Victra-20	Modular suppressor specifically for 20-gauge platforms	NFA / Accessories	Medium
Remington	870 FieldMaster	Improved finish and QC under new ownership; 870 Tactical updates	All-Purpose	Medium

1. Regulatory Context: The “One Big Beautiful Bill” and Market Shift

To fully appreciate the product announcements occurring on the floor of the Venetian Expo and Caesars Forum this year, one must first analyze the regulatory earthquake that preceded them. The U.S. small arms market, particularly the segment involving NFA (National Firearms Act) items, has historically been constrained by the $200 tax stamp and the associated processing delays. However, on July 4, 2025, the signing of the legislative package known as the “One Big Beautiful Bill” initiated a countdown to the elimination of this tax for suppressors, short-barreled rifles (SBRs), and short-barreled shotguns (SBSs).¹

Effective January 1, 2026, the financial barrier to owning these items was officially removed. While the bureaucratic requirements of registration, background checks, and Form 4 submissions remain in place, the removal of the excise tax has fundamentally altered consumer psychology.¹⁴ The industry’s reaction has been immediate and overwhelming. On the very first day the tax was lifted, the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives (ATF) received approximately 150,000 eForm submissions—a volume roughly 60 times higher than the daily average of 2,500 observed in previous years.¹ This surge confirms a long-held industry hypothesis: the tax, alongside the perceived hassle, was a primary friction point for consumers.

1.1 Implications for Shotgun Design and Manufacturing

For the shotgun market, this legislative change is forcing a rapid re-engineering of the standard “hunting” and “tactical” configurations. Historically, shotgun suppressors (such as the SilencerCo Salvo 12) were niche products. They added significant length to an already long 28-inch barrel, made the firearm unwieldy, and required a $200 tax on top of a $1,000+ purchase price. Furthermore, reducing the barrel length to accommodate the suppressor required registering the firearm as a Short Barreled Shotgun (SBS)—triggering another $200 tax.

With the tax removed on both suppressors and SBSs, the market calculus has shifted. Manufacturers are now incentivized to pivot toward:

• Shorter Factory Barrels: We are witnessing a trend where 18.5-inch and even 14-inch barrels are becoming standard catalog options rather than law-enforcement-only (LEO) restricted items. A 12-inch or 14-inch barrel combined with a suppressor results in a total system length comparable to a standard hunting shotgun, making suppression a viable option for home defense and turkey hunting without compromising maneuverability.¹⁶
• Universal Threading: The expectation is shifting toward “suppressor-ready” muzzles. Users now demand that even field guns come drilled and tapped or threaded for external chokes/suppressors.
• Integrated Systems: Companies like JK Armament and Yankee Hill Machine (YHM) are debuting modular suppressor systems specifically timed to capitalize on this buying frenzy. The YHM Victra-20, for instance, is a dedicated modular suppressor for the 20-gauge platform, directly addressing the sub-gauge trend.⁹

This regulatory context explains why established players like Mossberg and Beretta are dedicating prime booth space to “tactical” models that would have previously been relegated to the law enforcement section. The consumer market has effectively expanded to include NFA items as standard accessories.

2. The Modular Disruptor: Palmetto State Armory PSA 570

If there is a single firearm generating the most organic “buzz” on forums, Reddit threads, and social media leading into SHOT Show 2026, it is undoubtedly the PSA 570. Palmetto State Armory (PSA) has built an empire on democratizing military-style rifles (AR-15s, AKs) by optimizing supply chains, controlling vertical integration, and engaging directly with the consumer base. Now, they are applying that same philosophy to the pump-action shotgun, a segment that has seen little structural innovation since the mid-20th century.

2.1 The “Build-Your-Own” Concept

The PSA 570 is not merely another clone of the Remington 870 or Mossberg 500; it is a fundamental rethinking of how a shotgun is manufactured, sold, and assembled. The core innovation lies in the modular receiver architecture. In traditional shotgun designs (like the Remington 870), the magazine tube is often brazed or permanently fixed to the receiver. This limits the user’s ability to change capacity or barrel configurations without significant gunsmithing or specific barrel-magazine combinations.

The PSA 570 disrupts this by featuring a magazine tube that screws directly into the receiver, decoupling the magazine length from the barrel retention system.¹⁷ This design choice has profound implications:

• True Modularity: Users can swap magazine tubes to change capacity—for example, converting from a 5-round hunting tube to an 8-round tactical tube—without needing a new barrel or a clumsy extension nut that extends beyond the muzzle. The barrel indexes off the receiver, not the magazine cap.¹⁷
• The “AR-ification” of the Shotgun: PSA plans to sell the 570 as a bare receiver, allowing users to build their shotgun from the ground up, component by component, much like an AR-15 lower receiver.⁴ This appeals directly to the tinkering demographic that frequents Reddit and AR15.com, who prefer to select their own trigger groups, stocks, and barrels rather than buying a complete factory gun.
• Furniture Compatibility: Perhaps the most strategic decision PSA made was to engineer the 570 to accept ubiquitous Remington 870 furniture.¹⁸ By ensuring compatibility with the 870 footprint, the 570 instantly gains access to the largest aftermarket ecosystem in the shotgun world. Users can install Magpul SGA stocks, SureFire forend lights, and Mesa Tactical shell carriers on “Day 1” without waiting for proprietary accessories to be developed.

2.2 Market Positioning and Consumer Sentiment

Internet chatter indicates high anticipation but also a degree of skepticism regarding the release timeline. PSA has a history of announcing concepts years before mass production (a phenomenon often referred to as “vaporware” in the industry), as seen with their MP5 clone saga. However, prototypes shown at previous shows and recent “torture test” videos released by PSA ²⁰ suggest the 570 is nearing mass production viability.

A specific point of discussion among enthusiasts is the potential inclusion of a slam-fire capability—a feature where the shotgun fires immediately upon the action closing if the trigger is held down. This was a beloved feature of historical trench guns like the Winchester Model 1897 and Ithaca 37 but has been absent from modern safety-conscious designs. While rumors persist, confirmed specifications on this feature remain elusive.²¹ If included, even as an optional trigger group, it would likely cement the 570’s status as an instant cult classic.

2.3 Manufacturing & Supply Chain Implications

PSA’s vertical integration strategy allows them to control costs and supply more effectively than importers. By manufacturing the receivers and major components in-house (likely in their South Carolina facilities), they can target a price point—estimated to be sub-$600 for complete guns and significantly less for receivers—that undercuts both the Mossberg 590 and the Remington 870 FieldMaster. This aggressive pricing, combined with the modular feature set, positions the 570 to cannibalize sales from the established budget pump-action market.

3. The Ballistic Vanguard: Benelli Super Black Eagle 3 Advanced Impact

While PSA innovates on modularity and receiver architecture, Benelli is channeling its R&D budget into physics and internal ballistics. The Super Black Eagle 3 (SBE 3) Advanced Impact (A.I.) is the flagship announcement for the premium hunting segment. Initially launched in 12-gauge to mixed but generally positive reception, the major news for SHOT Show 2026 is the expansion of the A.I. system into the sub-gauge market: specifically, 20-gauge and 28-gauge models.⁵

3.1 The Technology: “Advanced Impact” Explained

The “Advanced Impact” system is not merely a marketing nomenclature; it represents a significant re-profiling of the internal barrel geometry that departs from SAAMI standard dimensions.

• Oversized Bore: The A.I. barrels feature a bore diameter significantly larger than standard specifications. For example, the 12-gauge A.I. bore measures approximately.775 inches, compared to the standard.729 inches.²³ This dimension approaches that of a 10-gauge bore.
• Deep Forcing Cones: The transition from the chamber to the bore is elongated and smoothed.
• Ballistic Theory: Benelli claims this geometry reduces friction on the shot cup and minimizes the “crushing” effect on the shot column during acceleration. By reducing pellet deformation and improving the gas seal, the system is designed to increase downrange velocity and shorten the shot string.
• Field Reality: Independent testing has shown that while velocity gains can be modest (often in the range of 50-100 fps depending on the load), the improvement in pattern density and uniformity is measurable. The A.I. choke tubes are also distinct, being longer and featuring a more gradual constriction to further aid pattern coherence.²³

3.2 The Rise of the Sub-Gauge Turkey Gun

The introduction of the 28-gauge SBE 3 A.I. is a strategic move specifically targeting the booming turkey hunting market.²⁴ The advent of Tungsten Super Shot (TSS)—a non-toxic shot material significantly denser than lead (18g/cc vs. 11g/cc)—has revolutionized ballistics. A 28-gauge shell loaded with TSS #9 pellets now delivers a higher pellet count and greater penetration energy at range than a traditional 12-gauge load of lead #5s.

Benelli is capitalizing on this trend by offering the SBE 3 A.I. in Performance Shop Turkey configurations. These models are not just scaled-down field guns; they are purpose-built tools featuring:

• Optics Readiness: The receivers are drilled and tapped or milled to accept reflex sights like the Burris FastFire or Holosun series, acknowledging that modern turkey hunting involves aiming rather than pointing.²⁴
• Short Barrels: 24-inch barrels are standard on the turkey models, optimizing them for movement in dense brush.
• Specialized Camo: Finishes in Mossy Oak Bottomland and Greenleaf are standard, catering to the aesthetic preferences of the dedicated “turkey fanatic” demographic.
• Price Point: These are premium instruments. With an MSRP hovering around $3,000, Benelli is unapologetically targeting the affluent enthusiast who demands the absolute pinnacle of sub-gauge performance.⁶

4. The Legacy Evolution: Browning Citori 825 & The Over/Under Market

For over a decade, the Browning Citori 725 has served as the gold standard for mid-to-high-tier over/under shotguns, bridging the gap between field utility and competition durability. At SHOT Show 2026, Browning is officially unveiling its successor: the Citori 825.⁷ This release is significant not because it reinvents the wheel, but because it refines one of the most successful shotgun platforms in history to align with modern competition trends.

4.1 825 vs. 725: The Critical Differences

The transition from the 700-series to the 800-series represents a generational shift in manufacturing and design philosophy.

• Fire Lite 2 Trigger System: The most critical functional update is the transition to the Fire Lite 2 mechanical trigger.⁸ The previous 725 utilized an inertia-block trigger system, where the recoil of the first shot was required to set the sear for the second barrel. While reliable with standard loads, inertia triggers can sometimes fail to reset when using extremely light recoil loads (such as.410 tubes in a 12-gauge frame for skeet, or light subsonic loads). The mechanical trigger of the 825 resets instantly upon release of the first pull, regardless of recoil. This guarantees the second shot is always ready, a feature highly prized by sub-gauge competitors.
• Receiver Geometry & Aesthetics: The 825 features a lower profile receiver with sharper, more modern lines compared to the rounded, organic curves of the 725. The fencing around the receiver is more angular, mimicking the styling trends seen in high-end Italian competition guns like the Perazzi High Tech or Beretta DT11. The “Low Profile” design helps align the barrel axis more directly with the shooter’s shoulder, reducing muzzle flip—a critical factor in doubles competition.⁷
• Ergonomics: The stock dimensions have been subtly tweaked, and the forend is slimmer, facilitating a faster, more dynamic swing. This aligns with the “Sporting” focus of the launch models.
• Finish Quality: High-end models, such as the “Golden Clays” edition, feature silver nitride receivers with intricate scroll engraving and Grade V/VI walnut stocks, reinforcing the gun’s position as a luxury item as well as a tool.⁷

4.2 Market Buzz and Competitive Landscape

The Citori 825 is generating significant interest among competitive shooters (trap, skeet, sporting clays) who have been waiting for a modernized Browning to compete with the Beretta 694. The move to a mechanical trigger is widely praised in pre-show discussions as it resolves the primary complaint regarding the 725 platform.²⁶

5. The Tactical Renaissance: Domestic & Import Dynamics

The tactical segment is crowded, but 2026 sees two giants—Mossberg and Beretta—making distinct, strategic moves to capture the “home defense” and “duty” markets, heavily influenced by the new suppressor-friendly environment.

5.1 Mossberg 590R / 590RM “Chisel” Series

Mossberg has partnered with Chisel Machining to produce a factory-custom version of the legendary 590 platform.¹⁰ This collaboration represents a growing trend of OEM manufacturers integrating high-end aftermarket parts directly from the factory.

• The “Chisel” Factor: These models come equipped with a Chisel Machining folding stock mount. This billet aluminum component allows the stock to fold flat against the receiver, significantly reducing the overall footprint for storage in vehicles or go-bags.
• 590RM (Mag-Fed): The “M” denotes the magazine-fed version, utilizing double-stack 10-round magazines. Combined with the folding stock and an 11.5-inch barrel (on the SBS version), this creates an incredibly compact package with high firepower.¹⁰
• Heat Shield Integration: The 590RM features a heat shield that is not just a clamp-on accessory but integrated into the barrel assembly structure, providing rigidity and a secure mounting surface for the forend.
• Optic-Optimized Rail: The top Picatinny rail is designed specifically for optic mounting, often integrating with the rear sight for a lower profile co-witness.

5.2 Beretta A300 Ultima Patrol: Expanding Dominance

The Beretta A300 Ultima Patrol was the breakout hit of 2024/2025, offering Beretta reliability at a sub-$1,000 price point, effectively undercutting the premium 1301. For 2026, Beretta is doubling down on this success.¹¹

• New Aesthetics: Beretta is introducing new colorways, including Grey and specialized camo patterns like Tiger Stripe, to broaden the gun’s appeal beyond the standard “tactical black.” This acknowledges that tactical shotguns are increasingly seen as lifestyle items.
• Raider Commemorative Edition: A special edition “Raider” model has been announced, likely a tie-in with military heritage or popular culture. This model is expected to command a premium price ($1,399+) and feature unique engravings or included accessories.²⁸
• M-LOK Integration: The forend design continues to feature aggressive texture and M-LOK slots at the 3, 6, and 9 o’clock positions, allowing for easy mounting of lights and lasers—a requirement for any serious defensive tool.

5.3 Remington 870 FieldMaster & Tactical Updates

Under the stewardship of RemArms, the Remington brand is continuing its rehabilitation. The focus for 2026 is on the 870 FieldMaster, which replaces the budget-grade “Express” line. The FieldMaster features improved metal finishing (black oxide vs. the rust-prone matte of the Express years), a drilled and tapped receiver, and better quality control.²⁹

• Tactical Models: New 870 Tactical models are being released with Magpul furniture and Cerakote finishes as standard options. RemArms is positioning the 870 FieldMaster Tactical as the premium pump-action alternative to the Mossberg 590, emphasizing the smoothness of the steel-on-steel action that 870 loyalists prize.³¹

6. The “Clone Wars” and Entry-Level Inertia: Spandau Arms & SDS

The expiration of Benelli’s seminal patents on the inertia-drive system has opened the floodgates for global competition, particularly from Turkey. While the market has been flooded with inconsistent clones in the past, Spandau Arms (a brand under the newly rebranded SDS Arms umbrella) has gained traction with the S2.¹²

• The Proposition: The S2 is a functional clone of the Benelli M2 but retails for roughly $400-$500, a fraction of the M2’s price.
• Performance & Reliability: Early reviews and field reports indicate that unlike previous generations of clones, the S2 is surprisingly reliable with a wide range of loads after a recommended break-in period.¹³
• Feature Set: The S2 includes features out of the box that Benelli owners typically have to pay extra for, such as an oversized charging handle, an enhanced lifter (which prevents “Benelli Thumb” during loading), and fiber optic sights.³⁴
• Rebranding Strategy: SDS Imports has officially rebranded to SDS Arms to present a more unified, manufacturer-like front to the U.S. market.³² This signals a shift from being a passive importer to an active brand manager ensuring stricter quality control (QC) on their Turkish partners.

The Spandau S2 poses a serious threat to the entry-level pump-action market. If a consumer can purchase a reliable, inertia-driven semi-auto for the same price as a Mossberg 500 or Remington 870, the value proposition tilts heavily toward the semi-auto.

7. The Hybrid Hunter: Winchester SX4 & Semi-Auto Refinements

Winchester is addressing the mid-tier market with the SX4 Hybrid Hunter series.³⁶

• Material Science: The “Hybrid” designation refers to the combination of weather-resistant finishes. These models feature Cerakote on the receiver and barrel for corrosion resistance and carbon fiber-dipped or composite stocks for durability and weight reduction.³⁷
• 20-Gauge Expansion: Winchester is aggressively expanding the 20-gauge offerings in the SX4 line, catering to the same sub-gauge trend driving Benelli’s sales. The SX4 remains one of the fastest-cycling gas guns on the market, and the gas system significantly reduces felt recoil compared to the inertia guns from Benelli and Spandau.
• Camo Patterns: New for 2026 are models featuring Mossy Oak DNA and Realtree Max-7, aligning with the latest trends in waterfowl concealment.³⁸

8. Unconventional Platforms & Niche Applications

8.1 Taurus Judge Home Defender

Taurus continues to blur the lines between handgun and long gun with the Judge Home Defender.³⁹

• Configuration: This firearm features a 13-inch barrel and a forward Picatinny rail. It is legally classified as a revolver (handgun), avoiding NFA restrictions despite its length.
• Utility: While some critics dismiss it as a novelty, the 13-inch barrel extracts significantly better velocity and tighter patterns from.410 buckshot and.45 Colt rounds than the standard snub-nose Judge. The forward rail allows for a proper two-handed grip (using the rail as a handstop or blast shield), addressing the safety concerns associated with the original Circuit Judge revolving carbine. It occupies a niche for home defense in confined spaces where a full-length shotgun is unwieldy.

8.2 IWI Tavor TS12 Gen 2

Israel Weapon Industries (IWI) is showcasing the TS12 Gen 2.⁴¹ This bullpup shotgun is known for its high capacity (15 rounds via three rotating tubes). The Gen 2 updates focus on reliability and ergonomics, likely addressing user feedback regarding the stiffness of the rotating mechanism and the bulk of the original design.

8.3 KelTec Developments

KelTec is rumored to be updating its KSG line and potentially introducing a .5.7x28mm platform, though the latter is likely a carbine or pistol (the PR-5.7) rather than a shotgun. However, the KSG bullpup shotgun remains a staple of their booth, with potential updates to the KSG410 (their.410 bore bullpup) to make it more suppressor-friendly.³

9. The Accessory Ecosystem: Suppressors & Optics

The “Year of the Suppressor” has birthed a robust accessory ecosystem.

9.1 JK Armament SGX

JK Armament is the clear winner in the shotgun suppressor space for 2026. Their SGX modular shotgun suppressors are designed with a unique “choke replacement” mounting system.⁹

• Modularity: The SGX uses a baffle stack that the user can configure. They can run it long for maximum suppression or short for weight savings.
• Choke Integration: The mounting system replaces the shotgun’s choke tube. Crucially, the end cap of the suppressor itself can accept a choke, meaning the user does not lose the ability to constrict their shot pattern when running suppressed—a major advantage over older designs.

9.2 Yankee Hill Machine (YHM) Victra-20

YHM is debuting the Victra-20, a modular sound suppressor engineered specifically for 20-gauge shotguns.⁹ This product launch is perfectly timed to coincide with the explosion of 20-gauge turkey and waterfowl guns. It is shorter, lighter, and optimized for the volume of gas produced by 20-gauge shells, preventing the “over-gassed” blowback often seen when running 12-gauge suppressors on smaller bores.

10. Conclusion & Strategic Outlook

SHOT Show 2026 confirms that the shotgun market is bifurcating into two distinct directions, driven by regulation and technology.

On one end, we see the Ultra-Premium sector (Benelli, Browning) pushing the boundaries of materials science, internal ballistics, and mechanical refinement. These manufacturers are betting that enthusiasts will pay $2,500+ for marginal but measurable gains in performance (SBE 3 A.I.) and reliability (Citori 825).

On the other end, the Budget-Tactical sector (PSA, Spandau) is racing to offer maximum modularity and firepower for under $600. PSA’s 570 is particularly disruptive because it threatens to commoditize the shotgun receiver, shifting the profit center to aftermarket parts and accessories.

The “One Big Beautiful Bill” has acted as a universal accelerant. The adoption of tactical features—threaded barrels, short lengths, M-LOK rails—is no longer limited to “tactical” SKUs; it is permeating the field and hunting lines. For the retailer, the key takeaway is clear: 2026 is the year to stock suppressors and the hosts that carry them. For the consumer, it is the year where “custom” features become standard factory options.

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