The following are reports creating using specialized tools to analyze websites and analyze the sentiment of social media posts relating to History and Socio-Political Topics. This includes our unqiue country fragility reports on the Cuba, Venezuela, China, Canada, the US and more.
Note: For information on our country fragility reports and how the assessment is done, please click here.
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- Uncovering the 1979 Vela Incident: A Nuclear Test Revelation December 31, 2025On September 22, 1979, at 00:53:00 UTC, the orbital vigilance of the Cold War was pierced not by a Soviet salvo, but by a silent, distinct signature from the desolate waters of the South Indian Ocean. The United States Air Force satellite Vela 6911, an aging sentinel designed to monitor compliance with the 1963 Partial ...
- Comparative State Decay: Why First World Nations Lag Behind December 28, 2025This report delivers a comprehensive strategic assessment regarding the comparative velocity of state decay between “First World” nations (Advanced Industrial Democracies) and “Second/Third World” nations (Emerging and Developing Economies). Moving beyond superficial metrics of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), this analysis adopts a structural entropy framework. Here, “decay” is rigorously defined not merely as economic contraction, ...
- Tactical Santa Photos – Day 12 December 25, 2025Ever wonder what Santa is up to these days? We have some photos to share with you each day between now and Christmas Day. Merry Christmas everyone!! I hope at least a few of these made you smile. To all of our active duty service people and veterans, thank you for your service and ...
- Tactical Santa Photos – Day 11 December 24, 2025Ever wonder what Santa is up to these days? We have some photos to share with you each day between now and Christmas Day. There will be more 🙂
- Tactical Santa Photos – Day 10 December 23, 2025Ever wonder what Santa is up to these days? We have some photos to share with you each day between now and Christmas Day. There will be more 🙂
- Tactical Santa Photos – Day 9 December 22, 2025Ever wonder what Santa is up to these days? We have some photos to share with you each day between now and Christmas Day. There will be more 🙂
- Tactical Santa Photos – Day 8 December 21, 2025Ever wonder what Santa is up to these days? We have some photos to share with you each day between now and Christmas Day. There will be more 🙂
- Tactical Santa Photos – Day 7 December 20, 2025Ever wonder what Santa is up to these days? We have some photos to share with you each day between now and Christmas Day. There will be more 🙂
- Tactical Santa Photos – Day 6 December 19, 2025Ever wonder what Santa is up to these days? We have some photos to share with you each day between now and Christmas Day. There will be more 🙂
- Tactical Santa Photos – Day 5 December 18, 2025Ever wonder what Santa is up to these days? We have some photos to share with you each day between now and Christmas Day. There will be more 🙂
- Tactical Santa Photos – Day 4 December 17, 2025Ever wonder what Santa is up to these days? We have some photos to share with you each day between now and Christmas Day. There will be more 🙂
- Tactical Santa Photos – Day 3 December 16, 2025Ever wonder what Santa is up to these days? We have some photos to share with you each day between now and Christmas Day. There will be more 🙂
- Tactical Santa Photos – Day 2 December 15, 2025Ever wonder what Santa is up to these days? We have some photos to share with you each day between now and Christmas Day. There will be more 🙂
- Tactical Santa Photos – Day 1 December 14, 2025Ever wonder what Santa is up to these days? We have some photos to share with you each day between now and Christmas Day. There will be more 🙂
- The Crisis of the Maduro Regime: A 2025 Analysis December 12, 2025As of December 11, 2025, the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela faces an existential convergence of internal institutional decay and external military siege. This report, commissioned to analyze the historical trajectory of the Venezuelan state, charts the nation’s devolution from the stability of the Puntofijo Pact to the revolutionary hegemony of Hugo Chávez, and finally to ...
- Ronin’s Grips: Analyzing the Invisible Battlefield—Why Social Media Sentiment is the New Decisive Terrain November 22, 2025The character of conflict has irrevocably shifted. We are no longer operating in a world of episodic, declared wars, but in a condition of persistent, unending competition that actively exploits strategic ambiguity. For the national security community, this means the battlefield has expanded from physical territory to encompass critical infrastructure, financial systems, and, most crucially, ...
- Systemic Fragility Analysis of the Philippines: A 36-Month Predictive Outlook – Q4 2025 November 6, 2025Overall Fragility Score: 6.8 / 10.0 Lifecycle Stage Assessment: STRESSED. The state maintains core functionality but exhibits significant erosion in institutional resilience, social cohesion, and capacity to absorb shocks. Chronic stressors are accumulating faster than they are being mitigated, increasing systemic brittleness. Key Drivers of Fragility: Extreme Climate Vulnerability: Acts as a primary systemic risk multiplier, capable of ...
- Systemic Fragility Analysis of the Islamic Republic of Iran: A 36-Month Predictive Outlook – Q4 2025 November 5, 2025Overall Fragility Score: 8.2 / 10 (Highly Fragile) Lifecycle Stage Assessment: CRISIS The Islamic Republic of Iran is assessed to be in a Crisis stage of state fragility. The foundational pillars of the state are critically compromised, and its capacity to withstand further shocks is minimal. Core state functions, particularly in the economic and public service domains, ...
- Select Systemic Fragility Analysis of Canada: A 36-Month Predictive Outlook – Q4 2025 November 5, 2025Overall Fragility Score: 5.2 / 10 (Stable but with Accelerating Systemic Decay) Lifecycle Stage Assessment: STRESSED Canada is assessed to be in a Stressed lifecycle stage, characterized by a slow-motion corrosion of its core sources of national resilience. A deep-seated institutional and political complacency has allowed chronic, structural problems to fester, creating a state that is increasingly ...
- Systemic Fragility Analysis of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea: A 36-Month Predictive Outlook – Q4 2025 November 5, 2025Overall Fragility Score: 8.5/10 Lifecycle Stage Assessment: CRISIS Key Drivers of Fragility: Absolute Centralization of Power: The regime’s structure as a personalist dictatorship creates a “single point of failure” dynamic, where the sudden incapacitation of the Supreme Leader could trigger systemic collapse. Systemic Economic Dysfunction: An irreconcilable conflict exists between the moribund state-run command economy and the semi-tolerated informal ...